Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1222.480349 1381.838658 1556.627944 1762.978999 2000.454263 2265.791602 2585.558613
2025-12-14 944.769122 1151.183918 1397.386688 1714.380202 2114.117413 2604.623762 3256.941660
2025-12-21 782.883616 1002.424109 1279.311876 1657.356449 2165.000580 2830.051868 3778.730834
2025-12-28 711.371496 949.139019 1263.321013 1714.092912 2352.817808 3238.392797 4581.909967
2026-01-04 646.516083 892.988649 1231.755288 1738.817221 2491.385342 3587.649968 5343.768199
2026-01-11 591.035452 841.429082 1197.689199 1751.302814 2607.694714 3912.048410 6107.787502
2026-01-18 544.243317 796.112014 1165.794432 1760.134552 2714.999404 4230.355843 6902.022040
2026-01-25 513.291539 770.295993 1158.795556 1803.979770 2878.939874 4654.200593 7928.991659
2026-02-01 482.757686 741.577908 1143.514390 1831.263608 3016.489440 5048.125726 8959.440503
2026-02-08 453.172329 711.215215 1122.027241 1844.720335 3130.045965 5411.799856 9986.393767
2026-02-15 428.232034 685.836530 1105.731828 1864.200244 3254.594822 5807.873595 11133.253355
2026-02-22 408.893376 667.810763 1099.591455 1899.881789 3411.094674 6280.506648 12505.340208
2026-03-01 376.134196 625.023953 1048.561139 1851.789439 3409.366458 6457.203184 13309.675849
2026-03-08 346.161518 584.726954 998.573869 1800.811678 3396.639381 6611.455607 14095.146773
2026-03-15 317.957556 545.250245 946.595211 1740.556328 3357.865216 6705.893963 14759.615127
2026-03-22 309.418083 540.244285 956.565071 1800.498895 3569.631697 7355.210199 16834.914075
2026-03-29 296.966197 527.008089 949.965666 1826.624369 3713.277319 7875.384060 18694.633533
2026-04-05 283.892818 511.545997 937.736029 1839.818481 3830.166600 8350.722049 20531.482482
2026-04-12 271.400219 496.203232 924.389499 1849.151770 3939.235690 8822.445570 22451.141759
2026-04-19 263.942334 489.971495 928.363807 1895.491525 4137.735220 9536.587542 25183.744361
2026-04-26 255.078213 480.285109 924.539676 1924.331453 4298.684734 10181.301550 27856.813487
2026-05-03 245.337348 468.122448 914.634977 1938.556722 4426.158805 10759.230355 30458.037788
2026-05-10 236.847276 457.875693 907.866885 1959.150397 4571.724658 11406.465893 33420.402957